Bill Gilbert: Analyzing the 2017 Hall of Fame Vote

January 23, 2017
Analyst Bill Gilbert  Looks at the 2017 Hall of Fame Selections

Analyst Bill Gilbert
Looks at the 2017
Hall of Fame Selections

Analyzing the 2017 Hall of Fame Vote

By Bill Gilbert

The Baseball Writers Association of America elected 3 players to the Hall of Fame this year, Jeff Bagwell (86.2%), Tim Raines (86.0%) and Ivan Rodriguez (76.0%)

Of those on the ballot who were not elected, Trevor Hoffman (74.0%) and Vladimir Guerrero (71.7%) were the closest and should be in good position for election in 2017.

There appears to be a softening in the stance the writers have regarding players believed to be associated with performance enhancing drugs. Roger Clemens and Barry Bonds both gained over 40 votes and are now have over 50% of the votes. They have five more years on the ballot to reach the necessary 75%.

Following is a list of candidates that received votes in the election this year. A total of 442 votes were cast. For the holdovers, vote totals for last year are also shown. Newcomers on the 2017 ballot are shown in bold.

2017 CANDIDATES YEARS ON BALLOT 2016 VOTES / % 2017 VOTES / % DIFFERENCE VOTES / %
JEFF BAGWELL 7 315 / 71.6 381 / 86.2 66 / 14.6
TIM RAINES 15 307 / 69.8 380 / 86.0 73 / 16.2
I. RODRIGUEZ 1   336 / 76.0
T. HOFFMAN 2 296 / 67.3 327 / 74.0 34 / 06.7
V. GUERRERO 1   317 / 71.7
ED MARTINEZ 8 191 / 43.4 259 / 58.6 68 / 15.2
BARRY BONDS 5 195 / 44.3 238 / 53.8 43 / 09.5
MIKE MUSSINA 4 189 / 43.0 229 / 51.8 40 / 08.8
C. SCHILLING 5 230 / 52.3 199 / 45.0 -31 / -07.3
LEE SMITH 15 150 / 34.1 151 / 34.2 01 / 00.1
M. RAMERIZ 1 105 / 23.8
LARRY WALKER 7 68 / 15.5 97 / 21.9 29 / 06.4
FRED McGriff 8 92 / 20.9 96 / 21.7 04 / 00.8
JEFF KENT 4 73 / 16.6 74 / 16.7 01 / 00.1
G. SHEFFIELD 3 51 / 11.6 59 / 13.3 08 / 01.7
BILLY WAGNER 2 46 / 10.5 45 / 10.2 -01 / -00.3
SAMMY SOSA 5 31 / 07.0 38 / 08.6 07 / 01.6
Under 5%:      
JORGE POSADA 1   17 / 03.8
M. ORDONEZ 1   03 / 00,7
ED RENTERIA 1   02 / 00.5
J. VARITEK 1   02 / 00.5
T. WAKEFIELD 1   01 / 00.2

In addition to Rodriguez, two other ballot newcomers received enough votes to remain on the ballot. Both were outfielders, Vladimir Guerrero (71.7%) and Manny Ramirez (23.8%). Guerrero’s high vote total in his first time on the ballot suggests that he should get elected fairly quickly. In something of a surprise, Jorge Posada fell off the ballot in his first year with only 3.8% of the votes. Lee Smith also falls off future ballots after 15 years.

Thirteen of the fifteen holdover candidates received more votes in 2017 than in 2016. The two that didn’t were Curt Schilling and Billy Wagner. Schilling’s decline is likely due to some controversial statements he made which offended some sportswriters. Wagner lost only one vote from 2016.

The following eleven players were on the ballot but did not receive any votes: Casey Blake, Pat Burrell, Orlando Cabrera, Mike Cameron, J.D. Drew, Carlos Guillen, Derrick Lee, Melvin Mora, Arthur Rhodes, Freddy Sanchez and Matt Stairs.

For the fourth straight year, the writers averaged over eight votes on their ballots (8.1) versus the historical average of 6-7. If this continues, the problem of an overcrowded ballot should gradually be relieved. The change that reduced a player’s time on the ballot from 15 to 10 years will also help. The 2018 class of ballot newcomers is headlined by Chipper Jones and Jim Thome who could both be elected on the first ballot.

Bill Gilbert

billcgilbert@sbcglobal.net

1/22/2017

Sports Analyst Bill Gilbert Valued Ongoing Contributor to The Pecan Park Eagle

Sports Analyst Bill Gilbert
Valued Ongoing Contributor to The Pecan Park Eagle

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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eagle-0range
Bill McCurdy

Publisher, Editor, Writer

The Pecan Park Eagle

A Bagwell-Biggio Numbers Irony

January 22, 2017
Craig Biggio and Jeff Bagwell 100% Hall of Fame 100% Houston Astros 100% Class

Craig Biggio and Jeff Bagwell
100% Hall of Fame!
100% Houston Astros!
100% Class!

 

When it finally dawned upon us last night, the following Bagwell-Biggio numbers irony was added as a subject-unrelated footnote to the previous column on home runs and the Hall of Fame.

Home Runs and the Hall of Fame

This morning it rides again for the attention who missed it there. If you believe in the numerical revelation of of god and bad luck, this one feels like a contribution to the Houston Astros’ “Serendipitous Good Fortune Hopper.” Even if the good energy benefits extend only to our two pure Astro members of the Hall of Fame, the Pecan Park Eagle is totally to the good with the outcome, but we shall push our hopes to the possibility that this “Good Times Roller” also extends to Manager A.J. Hinch and the 2017 Astros going all the way to the World Series and then taking that elusive sucker!

We will gladly settle for a final score in the deciding game of the 2017 World Series of Astros 7 – Whomevers 5.

Here’s a verbatim excerpt of how we reported our discovery of this magical numerical crossover blend. For the record, a crossover blend is a numerical occurrence which unites two associated people, or other entities, by two different numbers that are normally significant to each figure separately, but are now ironically  shared in a doubly reversed assignment pattern of each number to the other figure in the pairing because of a mutually occurring event that affects both parties. The Bagwell-Biggio Hall of Fame example is a quick, clear example of this  explanation:

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HOF Note: A Bagwell/Biggio Induction Year Numbers Irony ….

Very Interesting! – It only now occurred to us ~ Jeff Bagwell’s uniform # 5 appears as the last digit in Craig Biggio’s 2015 HOF selection year. ~ Craig Biggio’s uniform # 7 appears as the last digit in Jeff Bagwell’s 2017 HOF selection year.

Mighty Superstition …. writing on the wall!

~ excerpt from “Home Runs and the Hall of Fame”, The Pecan Park Eagle, January 22, 2017.

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Fortunately, we of The Pecan Park Eagle are not particularly bound by superstitions. My cure occurred around age 12, when I decided that I needed to carry my prized Stan Musial baseball card in my hip pants pocket during a big Eagles game. We won the game, but it must have been 100 degrees in the houston east end that 1950 summer day. My prized Musial card was ruined. “Never again,” I thought, when I got home. I even knocked on wood to reinforce my sincerity about giving up superstition.

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eagle-0range
Bill McCurdy

Publisher, Editor, Writer

The Pecan Park Eagle

Home Runs and the Hall of Fame

January 22, 2017
Hall of Fame Class of 2017 Jeff Bagwell, Tim Raines, and Ivan Rodriguez.

Hall of Fame Class of 2017
Jeff Bagwell, Tim Raines, and Ivan Rodriguez.

Hitting home runs still doesn’t hurt a player’s chances of reaching the Hall of Fame after he retires.  As long as he does it in large double-figure droves each season over a period of 15-20 years – and preferably, but not exclusively, for a winning club – that has some familiarity with “winning” at the World Series level. Exceptions are plentiful. Ernie Banks sure didn’t need that last media-tilting edge.

With the selection of Houston Astros slugger Jeff Bagwell into the Hall of Fame earlier this week, we thought it would be interesting to take a brief look at how things stack up for HOF membership with all HR leaders from # 38 Jeff Bagwell up to # 1 Barry Bonds as far as enshrinement at Cooperstown now stands.

Take a look at the rank order list that now exists first and we shall continue this observation on the other side. As you will quickly note, the number of ties on the list account for the fact that the 38 spots totals is actually expanded to include a true total of 39 players and former players.

Home Runs – All Time MLB Leaders

From Bonds to Bagwell

Source: Baseball Almanac.com

Barry Bonds 762 1
Hank Aaron 755 2 (HOF)
Babe Ruth 714 3 (HOF)
Alex Rodriguez 696 4
Willie Mays 660 5 (HOF)
Ken Griffey, Jr. 630 6 (HOF)
Jim Thome 612 7
Sammy Sosa 609 8
Albert Pujols 591 9
Frank Robinson 586 10 (HOF)
Mark McGwire 583 11
Harmon Killebrew 573 12 (HOF)
Rafael Palmeiro 569 13
Reggie Jackson 563 14 (HOF)
Manny Ramirez 555 15
Mike Schmidt 548 16 (HOF)
David Ortiz 541 17
Mickey Mantle 536 18 (HOF)
Jimmie Foxx 534 19 (HOF)
Willie McCovey 521 20 (HOF)
Frank Thomas 521 20 (HOF)
Ted Williams 521  20 (HOF)
Ernie Banks 512 23 (HOF)
Eddie Mathews 512 23 (HOF)
Mel Ott 511 25 (HOF)
Gary Sheffield 509 26
Eddie Murray 504 27 (HOF)
Lou Gehrig 493 28 (HOF)
Fred McGriff 493 28
Stan Musial 475 30 (HOF)
Willie Stargell 475 30 (HOF)
Carlos Delgado 473 32
Chipper Jones 468 33
Dave Winfield 465 34 (HOF)
Jose Canseco 462 35
Adam Dunn 462 35
Carl Yastrzemski 452 37 (HOF)
Jeff Bagwell 449 38 (HOF)
Vladimir Guerrero 449 38

Some Reflections on the Chart

  1. Including the 2017 selection of Jeff Bagwell, 23 of the 39 men on this list are members of the Hall of Fame – and 16 are not.
  2. Of the 16 HR leaders who are not members of the Hall of Fame, only one (1) player, Albert Pujols, remains ineligible for HOF consideration because of his still active player status.
  3. David Ortiz should be a first ballot “shoo-in” HOF selection in his 2022 first eligible year possibility.
  4. Alex Rodriguez had a great statistical career, and will also be on the ballot a first time in 2022. When we factor in his arrogance and evidence of lying about steroid use, he’s got a great need for the forgiveness grace to kick in before he makes it, if ever does.
  5. Barry Bonds belongs in the HOF by virtue of the fact that he already was great on that level – and long before he ever used a single steroid.
  6. Of the 13 other non-HOF members of the Bonds to Bagwell Career HR Leader list, only one (1), Vladimir Guerrero, appears to be a “sure thing” for admission in the 2nd or 3rd year on the ballot.
  7. Jim Thome’s possibilities may have been helped by the recent selections of Mike Piazza and Jeff Bagwell.
  8. Rafael Palmeiro had a great HOF career, but he hooked pretty hard on the “liar, liar, pants on fire” nail out side the Hall.  Will the voters forgive him and simply look at what he did for 20 years, presumably playing clean?
  9. Manny Ramirez is another guy, even more so than Palmeiro, who is deserving of the HOF on performance merit.
  10. Sammy Sosa, Jose Canseco, and Adam Dunn all hit a ton of homers, but did not have HOF careers, otherwise, – to say the least. We don’t see any of these guys getting into the HOF.
  11. Fred McGriff is deserving now and so is Chipper Jones, when he hits the ballot in 2018.
  12.  If 22 years work, a near .300 BA, and over 500 HR mean anything, We think Gary Sheffield deserves the HOF too, if he can override voter memories of him as a surly, hard-to-like personality.  If baseball players got jobs on the basis of a positive initial job interview, it’s possible that Sheffield might have never played an inning in the big leagues.
  13. Carlos Delgado is one of those guys who may have stopped at the “near great” mark for consideration. In his case, an excess of 500 HR would have helped his case.
  14. In every case, the voters should consider this question: “Does the selection of this player elevate or lower our performance expectations for membership in the Hall of Fame?”
  15. The Hall of Fame should not be a club that baseball tries to fit marginally good to near great performers into because they will draw a crowd on induction day. Nor is it a place where truly incredible accomplishments should be overlooked because the voters did not like, or could not forgive, the human frailties that come with the players who did these great things.
  16. Of the men on this list who are not in the HOF, are there any that you have strong opinions about – as to letting them in or keeping them out – either way?
  17. In conclusion, this exercise reminds me of something former Astro Jimmy Wynn told me when we were working on his McFarland Books memoir, “Toy Cannon”. And you bet we used it in the body of his story. The quote will follow  as one summary of this whole topic, but please leave us your comments too.

Summary

“When I was playing baseball as a kid, my dad liked to say that home run hitters drive Cadillacs and singles hitters drive Chevrolets.  I tried to keep that in mind when I grew up.” ~ Astros Icon, Jimmy Wynn.

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HOF Note: A Bagwell/Biggio Induction Year Numbers Irony ….

Very Interesting! – It only now occurred to us ~ Jeff Bagwell’s uniform # 5 appears as the last digit in Craig Biggio’s 2015 HOF selection year. ~ Craig Biggio’s uniform # 7 appears as the last digit in Jeff Bagwell’s 2017 HOF selection year.

Mighty Superstition …. writing on the wall!

____________________

eagle-0range
Bill McCurdy

Publisher, Editor, Writer

The Pecan Park Eagle

Bill Gilbert’s 2016 College Football Summary

January 20, 2017
Our Bill Gilbert is a CU Alum The Buffs Didn't make The Playoffs in 2016, But They Did Begin to Snort Wins Like It Was Once Upon a Time.

Our Bill Gilbert is a Colorado University Alum
The Buffs Didn’t make The Playoffs in 2016, But They Did Begin to Snort Wins Again, Like It Was Once Upon a Time.

 

A College Football 2016 Wrap-up
By Bill Gilbert
Analyst Bill Gilbert A valued ongoing contributor to The Pecan Park Eagle.

Analyst Bill Gilbert
A valued ongoing contributor to The Pecan Park Eagle.

I usually write about major league baseball but I also have an interest in college football and college baseball with my grandson pitching for LSU.  My interest in college football this year was a little greater than usual with my school, the University of Colorado, returning to relevance after a 15 year absence.  After a little analysis, I have reached the following conclusions regarding the 2016 season:
 
1. The ACC has a legitimate claim as the strongest Power 5 conference in 2016 with a National Championship and a bowl game record of 9-4.
2.  Alabama has the longest current string of top 25 finishes with 9.
3.  In the 17 years (2000-2016), Oklahoma has been ranked in the top 25 fifteen times.  LSU and Ohio State are tied for second with 14.
 
4. Alabama has 4 National Championships since 2000.  USC, Florida and Ohio State each have 2.
 
5.  It was not a good year for teams from Texas. No Texas teams finished in the top 25 rankings, for the first time in this century.  Six teams from Texas went to bowl games but only Baylor came away a winner.
 
6.  LSU has not finished in the Top 10 since 2011.
 
7.  Colorado was ranked for the first time since 2002.
 
8.  87 teams have finished a season ranked in the top 25 since 2000.
 
9.  Eleven of the twenty five ranked teams in the preseason poll were not in the rankings at the end of the season, led by Notre Dame, No. 10 in the preseason poll.
 
10.  Other top 10 preseason teams that fell out of the top 10 were LSU (5 to 13), Stanford (8 to 12) and Tennessee (9 to 22).
 
11.  Two preseason unranked teams finished in the top 10, Penn State (7) and Wisconsin (9).
 
12.  Among preseason ranked teams, the biggest upward moves were by USC (20 to 3) and Washington (14 to 4).
 
   Editorial Note:  Support for these conclusions is available from Bill Gilbert by e-mail request to Bill Gilbert.
 

Bill Gilbert

 

The Times They Are a Changing at the HOF

January 20, 2017
The Hall of Fame Class of 2017 NY Media Day, 1/19/2017 HOF President Feff Idelson, Jegg Bagwell, Tim Raines, & Ivan Rodriguez Photo by Dr. Kevin Gee

The Hall of Fame Class of 2017
NY Media Day, 1/19/2017
HOF President Jeff Idelson, Jeff Bagwell, Tim Raines, & Ivan Rodriguez
Photo by Dr. Kevin Gee

With the selection of Jeff Bagwell for induction into the Hall of Fame in 2017, there seems to be a growing domino theory among the talking head media pundits that his success was simply another felled tile in a chain that became obvious last year when fellow traveler on the trail of steroid suspicion, Mike Piazza, finally got the call in 2016 after years of struggle against the same doubtful forces. The “if Piazza was clean enough and good enough to get in, why not Bagwell” voting force is simply continuing to roll down a perceptual change in the direction of support for those slightly soiled by their earlier association by production and body type affinity to Mark McGwire, Barry Bonds, Roger Clemens, and Sammy Sosa.

Bob Costas summarized it nicely, yesterday on the pre-announcement ES{N show, and earlier. I will have to paraphrase the articulate Mr. Costas here for want of recorded transcript. Since this isn’t a legal deposition, you will have to either trust that my version is giving you the true gist of his thinking, or else, simply stop reading right now and research it for yourself:

The Paraphrased Gist of Bob Costa on a Change in HOF Voting Mindset Today

“Even when the steroid era landed on baseball in the earlier years of the 21st century, baseball had no clear guidelines on two issues that are only compounded into confusion by the candidate’s use of HGH supplements:

“How good do you have to be to deserve membership in the HOF?

“How much attention should voters pay to character, lifestyle, obedience to the law, and the taking of any mind or body altering substance during a player’s active career?

“Do these steroids simply support a player’s durability – or do they also enhance a player’s performance stats?

“Baseball did learn something from the 1998 season. Remember 1998? That was the season that Mark McGwire and Sammy Sosa saved baseball from the horrible wounds that still lingered from the player lock out/strike and World Series cancellation in 1994. In late 1998, Time Magazine hailed McGwire and Sosa on their cover as the saviors of baseball – and there weren’t anything but words of gratitude and praise from baseball leaders for bringing fans back to the game to witness the excitement. There wasn’t any early concern about how these two men suddenly transcended from great power hitters into the two baseball gods who had come down from Olympus to treat Babe Ruth’s single season 60 HR record as if it were a piñata that someone had brought to their shared birthday party. (Ego Entry I: The piñata metaphor just flew in here from the writing gods to the Pecan Park Eagle. Sorry, Bob Costas.)

“When McGwire and Sosa both broke Ruth’s 1927 HR record in 1998, we cannot remember a single critic writing anything like the following at that time: ‘Were these guys on something? If so, is it possible that their medications helped or made the ball go farther, or more often, over the wall?

“Then came the steroids era and almost everyone took a one-eighty. Admissions, evidence, and high-octane lying by some players stung the involved players hard.  Mike McGwire, Sammy Sosa, Barry Bonds, Roger Clemens, Alex Rodriguez, and Rafael Palmeiro all took the biggest hits to their reputations. Today the prospects may be changing for a few of them as future HOF inductees, while others continue to  languish forever out there, somewhere – in a place called Snow Ball’s Chance Valley. (Ego Entry II: Another homespun metaphorical contribution. Give the gods credit for that one too.)

“At first wind of the serious steroids storm, the writers who vote on HOF candidacies almost completely morphed into replicas of Captain Renault, as played by Claude Rains in the classic movie “Casablanca” upon his (ahem) discovery of hidden activity at Rick’s American Cafe. ‘This place is closed,’ Captain Renault shouted. ‘I’m shocked to find that gambling is going on here!’

“It didn’t matter that Barry Bonds now led the history of major league baseball with 762 career home runs. No “cheater” was getting into the Hall of Fame. The whole truth was – no player from that era with a muscular body and big power numbers was getting in – even if he had never been caught doing ‘roids or admitted to doing illegal HGH, and even if he always tested clean on his player drug tests.

Dr. Kevin Gee and Jeff Bagwell In HOF Jersey) NYC Media Day, 1/19/2017 Selfie by Dr. Kevin Gee

Dr. Kevin Gee & Jeff Bagwell (with smile, shades, & HOF cap & jersey)
NYC Media Day, 1/19/2017
Selfie by Dr. Kevin Gee

“What’s changed by the middle of the 21st century’s second decade? Clean players from the original high suspicion group, players like Mike Piazza and Jeff Bagwell, who both admitted to the use of one HGH substance when it was legal for injury healing purposes, but never to anything illegal for performance enhancement or tested anything but clean, have shown by their behavior over time that they have stayed clean of the drugs they always denied doing. Now, with Bagwell and Piazza,  the voters don’t have to worry about supporting a player who might embarrass them later, if they voted him into the Hall of Fame on merit. In effect, the selection of Mike Piazza in 2016 may have been a big part of the domino that fell upon support for Jeff Bagwell in 2017.

“Selections today now feed upon a search for the member of the HOF who best compares with the candidate at hand. In Bagwell’s case, it stands to reason that Jeff Bagwell deserved the selection-by-steroids-shadow-removal every ounce as much as Mike Piazza did in 2016. And he got it. It is likely that the increased support for Barry Bonds and Roger Clemens this year is also a good sign for their induction approvals at the 75% affirmation level at some points in their individual 10-year terms on the ballot. The prospect seems fair, right, and likely, but some people may see it as a drop in the character level of the HOF family membership.

It’s remindful of the old joke by Groucho Marx about why he had refused an invitation to join a certain social club in LA. – “‘I don’t want to have anything to do with a club that would invite me to be a member.’

“It’s not that bleak; it’s just changing. Presuming the steroids era never returns, there may be improvement in voters’ capacities to forgive those great former late career steroid athletes who have set some incredible records as big leaguers on the way out the door. In the heat of the political and insulting issue that HGH became in baseball a few years ago, it is easy to forget that both Barry Bonds and Roger Clemens were two of the greatest natural talents to ever have played the game long before there ever any known steroid abuse in MLB of any kind.

The Lesson of Piazza and Bagwell

The Lesson of Piazza and Bagwell may be the indicator we now have an awareness among many voters that forgiveness is a bird that flies higher with greater understanding over time. Piazza and Bagwell were only guilty of not being able to prove their innocence. If that’s true, there may be room further down the timeline for forgiveness in the cases of Bonds and Clemens, and a few others who did once error in their use of performance enhancement drugs, but that it is now better understood by all with eyes to see that those drugs were not what really made either Bonds or Clemens the Hall of Fame great level players they each truly were. Those guys were Hall of Fame talents long before the arrival of the so-called steroids era.

Congratulation, Jeff Bagwell!

Today, in Astros Nation, especially, we celebrate the knowledge that we now have a date with destiny. On June 30, 2017, Jeff Bagwell will be reunited with the other great founder of “The Killer Bees”, Craig Biggio (HOF Class of 2015), as a 2017 induction class member of the Baseball Hall of Fame, along with two other deserving inductees, Tim Raines and Ivan Rodriguez. – Congratulations to all of you. Every single one of you has been deserving of this supreme baseball honor for a very long time.. None of you have improved as players since your last game on an MLB field. But it often takes time for the people who do the voting to gain perspective on how you can no longer be ignored. And that seems to be happening.

Thank You, Dr. Kevin Gee!

Thanks to Dr. Kevin Gee of the UH School of Optometry for making these two photos he took of the first media conference he attended in New York today for the 2017 Baseball Hall of Fame Class of 2017. We also appreciate the expeditious work of Dr. Sam Quintero, also of UH Optometry, for making Dr. Gee’s timely contribution to today’s story possible.

Take that, Houston Chronicle! The Pecan Park Eagle can stay current with you when we really want to make the effort. We also know how to get by – with a little help from our friends.

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eagle-0range
Bill McCurdy

Publisher, Editor, Writer

The Pecan Park Eagle

BAGWELL’S IN!

January 18, 2017

astros_logo-dome

astros-1990sastros_logo-2000jeff-bagwell-happy-new-year

laurel-wreath

astros-logo-orange

bagwell-opie-2004

jeff-bagwell-011317

heart-ball

wrench-heart-copy

halloffameexterior

ballpark-cooperstown

Cooperstown aerial view.

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Congratulations, Jeff Bagwell! The Pecan Park Eagle salutes you for your selection today, January 18, 2017, and for your impending induction into the Baseball Hall of Fame in beautiful Cooperstown, New York on July 30, 2017!

With the moments ago announcement of your selection by an 86.2% affirmation, the Seven Year Itch that you and all your fans have been carrying around for years, waiting on the qualifying 75.0% minimum voting total to kick in for you in the voter poll …. finally got scratched!

Hallelujah! At 5:03 PM CST, 1/18/2017!

eagle-0range
Bill McCurdy

Publisher, Editor, Writer

The Pecan Park Eagle

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bagwell-russell

ADDENDUM: Thank you for this photo, Stephen Russell. We shall try to pass on your congratulations from here to Jeff Bagwell, but this photo of you with Jeff back in 1991 is worthy of a little more explanation to our readers than what it shows.

The photo shows you with Jeff Bagwell in his early MLB and Pre-Hall of Fame days as a rookie Houston Astros acquisition from the Boston Red Sox in exchange for veteran reliever Larry Anderson during a late season scarcity of pitchers who could get outs for the Beantowners during an AL playoff run. It may now have been best remembered as one of the best examples in baseball history of how filling a short-term talent need for a young unproven kid with a lot of upside can turn out to be the most costly deal any club could ever make.

Steve, could you either do one of two things? Either leave a comment that explains you past connection with both Bagwell and Craig Biggio? Or guest column article that you send to me by e-mail attachment with permission to publish it here in The Pecan Park Eagle. The article option would give you the chance to explain your own DNA connection to MLB.

We would be honored to have you choose both. Your comment and a more expanded article would be especially welcome too at this time in the history of the “Killer Bees.”

Give it some thought, And, before it’s way too late, – Happy New Year!

Regards,

Bill McCurdy

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A.J. Hinch: Transcendent Thinker

January 18, 2017
MANAGER A.J. HINCH HOUSTON ASTROS AT SABR, 1/16/2017 Photo by Mike McCroskey

MANAGER A.J. HINCH
HOUSTON ASTROS
AT SABR, 1/16/2017
Photo by Mike McCroskey

Houston Astros Manager A.J. Hinch was guest speaker last night at our January 16, 2017 first monthly meeting of the Larry Dierker SABR Chapter. 52 members attended the dinner meeting at the Spaghetti Western Restaurant on Shepherd, south of I-10, and none were disappointed.

Hinch was a delight. Speaking and answering questions about “managing” and the team, he never tired – or showed it. If anything, he seemed to energize with far-ranging comment on his experience as a manager, including one moment when he used a giant python to help loosen up a couple of people that we shall leave on the anonymous side of our report here. After an hour and a half of thoughtful, never mean, and always caring stories, we could not even hope to recapture everything you missed if you were not there. What came through like the blue sky on the heels of a rainy day was a man of great intellect, humor, experience, and passion for the game of baseball.

Baseball is Organic

“Baseball is constantly changing,” Hinch duly noted. “The game you see today is not the same as the one played even twenty years ago. It’s that dynamic.” Hinch’s appreciation for baseball as an organic, always evolving culture was impressive in itself. – Look, tic-tak-toe is a game. There’s only one way to play it. It’s always been that way. And always will be. Baseball on the other hand, is a humanly created adversarial culture with uncounted different ways to play any situation that arises – and all are subject to the variant strategies of the two club managers and the variant skills of their players. Hinch didn’t say that, but it was obvious he understands it. – And like all things invented by humans with choices built into the culture, baseball is organic.

Passion for the Game

The Hinch kid who grew up in Oklahoma has loved the game forever. He followed the call of his passion through years of youth ball, amateur play, college ball at Stanford, and then, on to the pros and some time as a major league catcher. He is self-deprecating about his modest statistical achievements as a player, but, if anyone needs a reminder, the great Earl Weaver never made it out of the minors with poor stats, but with a mind and temperament for managing at the MLB level that proved to be his yellow brick road to the Hall of Fame over time. As a still young manager, A.J. Hinch has the passion hunger for winning at levels much higher than he so far has achieved at the helm.

Transcendence as a Powerful Notion

Hinch’s words simply heated up the pot on thins I’ve believed for a very long time about winning. And he expressed much of the same support for the things I shall now write about here in my own words.

The 1939 New York Yankees finished their AL season with a 1st place record of 106-45, another pennant, of course, and a four-game sweep of the NL Cincinnati Reds in the World Series. Had Yankees manager Joe McCarthy instead managed the last place St. Louis Browns in 1939, he would have had his own run with a club that finished  in the 8th place AL cellar with a 43-111 record under Fred Haney. Could McCarthy have fared better with the ’39 Browns? Maybe. – Could McCarthy have beaten out his old ’39 Yankees club for the World Series title,  had the baseball gods aligned his career that way? No sanely probable way. Even if Joe McCarthy were a transcendent leader, he would not have had the other aspects of transcendence working for him to make it happen.

And beyond the obvious talent differential that existed between the 1939 Yankees and Browns, what’s a more complete answer as to why manager Joe McCarthy himself would not have been enough change to make a total difference in the fate of St. Louis’s AL club that season? – Of course, it’s obvious too. One great manager is never going to override an almost total absence of skill and talent on his club player roster. Casey Stengel put it best for us. In so many words, he often said that “nobody thought I was special when I managed Brooklyn and Boston (NL) back in the 1930s. I had to take over as manager of the Yankees for the world to find out that I was a genius.”

Transcendence  is an operational energy fueling idea. It is the movement of energy toward a higher level of attainment and achievement – or also to a complimentary horizontal level of improvement that makes winning in baseball on that higher level more probable – and more assured – and more frequent – if its fragile balance can be sustained. We choose to think of the high octane version of this energy fuel as the Six Transcendent “T” Word Phrases that define them all collectively as the Path to Baseball’s Treasure Island.

The Six Transcendence “T” Phrase Qualities  That Comprise the High Octane Fuel of a World Series Champion

 

SABR's Bob Dorrill Greets All Photo by Mike McCroskey

SABR’s Bob Dorrill Greets All
Photo by Mike McCroskey

  1. Transcendent Player Talent. During the reserve clause era, the Yankees took World Series victories to a dynastic level that we probably will never see again. In the evolving free agency world, the availability of big money from more clubs can break up any would-be dynasty pretty
    A.J. Hinch Awaits Introduction Photo by Mike McCroskey

    A.J. Hinch Awaits Introduction
    Photo by Mike McCroskey

    quickly.

  2. Transcendent Leadership. From ownership through the field manager, people are on-board with winning the World Series as their primary goal – even through the organization’s personnel at every level of the team’s minor league organization, winning the biggest prize that is before their noses is what they all strive to do. The view spreads to plans for scouting, spending, planning, even to using analytics in the evaluation of player needs and signings. No one is here simply to finish in the black at the gate by stringing the fans along as the primary goal. The club expects to state seasonal goals that all aim at winning a World Series at the earliest realistic moment.
  3. Transcendent Team Chemistry. The players and other personnel do not show up for work as though they had just signed up for a day job at an independent contract labor pool. The players, especially, form an energy bond as a team that frees them to be helpful to others in filling all of the less obvious needs the club recognizes as vital to activating team leadership on the field and in the clubhouse among the players. It’s like an always slightly different crossword puzzle. The goal is always about finding the best ways these particular players work together transcendentally for the sake of bringing about the team’s goal of winning it all together, one day at a time.
  4. Transcendent Spiritual Hunger. It is the hunger for something much larger than money, attention, adornment, or adoration. It is the heart for fulfilling the hope that we shall truly do and be – all those things our passions say are possible from our dedication to the quest, whatever it may be.
  5. Transcendent Work Ethic.  It is the invisible, but powerful wrench of our soul that allows us to grind out the basics of playing our position, on and off the field, at the highest levels possible for us. It is the same kind of dedication to the idea that none of us ever stand still on the page that measures how we are doing our jobs. We are organic too – and that’s forever in this life as well. The need doesn’t stop when one becomes a “superstar”. – We are always either getting better – or getting worse. On that level, we are all partners in grinding at things, including injuries and player mechanical hitches, to make the best of “getting better” possible for as long as the last word applies to us as an organic possibility.
  6. Transcendent Good Luck. We absolutely have no control over the appearance of good or bad misfortune, but the World Series has been lost by dropped fly balls, pebbles that turned ground balls into game-losing hits by the opposition, and the names Steve Bartman (Cubs fan) and Bill Buckner (Red Sox 1st baseman) , for example, will be associated with that level of notoriety forever. On the other hand, any team’s bad luck is the other team’s good fortune. And, in the case of the 1914 Boston Braves – the so-called “Miracle Braves” – there does seem to have been a large serving of good fortune bestowed upon a club that went from last place in the NL at mid-summer to the winner of the World Series that fall- and it was definitely a breakthrough in transcendent improvements in several areas. Luck may have been the smallest and most immeasurable and unpreventable transcendent factor in this case – and most cases – of surprise winning, but it’s there. And we all know it. Even if we still curse it when it seems to work against us.

 

sabr-hinch

SABR Chapter Meeting Spaghetti Western Ristorante Houston, 1/16/2017 Photo by Mike McCroskey

Summary

A club doesn’t have to have all of the six transcendent ingredients going for them to win a World Series, but it’s probably fair to say that having only one of these major elements kicking in by itself is never enough to make up for the absence of everything else. In our view, it most often takes a smattering of some transcendent input for each or most areas to work for any given season that a World Series is won, even if it is never repeated. In today’s culture too, it is unlikely that transcendent winning by any single team has a chance to survive like any of the famous Yankee era clubs. As we stated earlier, there’s too much going on out there in this free agency era to allow that to happen.

A.J. Hinch

Houston Astros Manager A.J. Hinch didn’t use all of the language here to describe his own viewpoint, but I was totally convinced by everything we heard from him that he would support these ideas completely, had we had the time to discuss this model last night. In fact, I made eye contact with him while making some post-A.J. Hinch Speach comments about ascendant and horizontal transcendence energy factors on the leadership level and his expression alone told me that he both understood and embraced support for the same ideas. In the end, he would have to speak for himself in that regard. All I know is that last night before SABR, he turned out to be everything I thought he would be – and a guy with a great sense of humor as well.

Houston is lucky to have A.J. Hinch on board. – Keep on transcending, A.J.!

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eagle-0range
 Bill McCurdy

Publisher, Editor, Writer

The Pecan Park Eagle

The Fine Art of Biggio and Bagwell

January 16, 2017

bagwell-statue2

 

 

biggio-statue2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

In 2004, during my tenure as Board Chair and Executive Director of the Texas Baseball Hall of Fame, we voted to induct three prominent members of the Houston Astros family into our Lone Star State Hall. Those inductees included 2nd baseman Craig Biggio, 1st baseman Jeff Bagwell, and broadcater Bill Brown, who only retired this year after thirty years of Hall of Fame quality service to Houston Astros fans.

One year earlier, the Houston Astros already had taken it upon themselves to install slightly larger than life separate bronze statuary  of Craig Biggio and Jeff Bagwell completing an implicit double play on the grassy area just beyond the left center field wall at Minute Maid Park in Houston – and doing so from a fair distance of about 90 feet apart. Several years later, on February 10, 2010, writer Larry Granillo wrote this telling comment about the Biggio-Bagwell statues in an article for an Internet publication known as The Sports Daily: “I’m actually surprised to see statues of Bagwell and Biggio already. It seems like teams usually wait (for a Hall of Fame vote, maybe) on something like that. I like the design, though, with Bagwell stretching to catch a double-play toss from Biggio. It works well.”

Jeff Bagwell By Opie Otterstad

Jeff Bagwell
By
Opie Otterstad

Granillo simply didn’t get what we Houston fans and the club itself already understood. Even when the statues were installed in 2003, even when we inducted both men together into our state Hall of Fame, we locals just knew, even then: These guys would go onto finish their playing days as the rarest of birds in the sporting world today. Together they would total 35 years of service to the Houston club as career Astros – and they someday would be inducted together into the Baseball Hall of Fame at Cooperstown. In my opening remarks at their 2004 induction into the TBHOF, I even lightly commented that we wanted to give both of them the practice here in Texas before they finally reached “the big Hall” together someday.

“Together” is looking more and more like the only error we all made in our local anticipation of their future honors. With the good to great prospects now riding high that Jeff Bagwell gains the nod to Cooperstown in two days, it looks more and more like we only missed their arrival dates by a couple of years. It could not have been avoided. Once the forces of doubt began to spread to all players who had been muscular power hitters during the zenith years of steroids abuse, there was no way that shadow would miss a fellow like Jeff Bagwell. Even though he had never tested positive for steroids, nor been name or accused by anyone of having done so, Bagwell has been forced to ride out the tide of temporary rejection by the “embarrassed holding back voters” (my term for them). These were the writers who would’ve voted for Jeff in his first year, but still feared that something might still come out later to hurt their own reputations for having supported Jeff Bagwell. Now that more time has passed since Bagwell reached the HOF ballot, these same voters are now less worried about a vote for Bagwell coming back to bite them. – Human character and courage are wonderful traits, aren’t they?

Craig Biggio By Opie Otterstad

Craig Biggio
By
Opie Otterstad

At any rate, the fine art of the statuary, we would like to credit the MMP pieces by name to the sculptor, but we could not locate it on our own on a short deadline. If you have the answer, please leave it with us as a comment upon this column and we will then also add it to the body of this article with credit to you for your very important research contribution.

The phenomenal talent of the great Austin-based, but nationally famous fine artist, Opie Otterstad, is the gem that pours the particular souls of each man all over these two great baseball-cards-that-could’ve-been-but-never-were. Opie even used some kind of bees wax material in the paint he used to do both Biggio and Bagwell as a tribute to the “Killer Bees” identity they started with the Astros.

It’s true. Art imitates life. Now, if only life could imitate these four fine pieces of art by moving others who view them to draw upon their own creative energies, whatever they may be, and do something that further spreads the beauty and joy of life,  what a wonderful world it could be.

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eagle-0range
 Bill McCurdy

Publisher, Editor, Writer

The Pecan Park Eagle

Another Houston Visit By the Wings of Fate

January 15, 2017
Sometimes a picture really is worth a thousand words.

Sometimes a picture really is worth a thousand words.

The New England Patriots have defeated the Houston Texans, 34-16, eliminating another local sports team run at that elusive thing we often reference here in the Bayou City as a major national championship. In our Houston case, it is much easier to reference national championships like The World Series or the Super Bowl than it is to reach them – and actually win them. So far, the 1994-1995 two-year NBA Champion Houston Rockets are the only local club to win the big one in any of the three major sports of baseball, football, or basketball.

Maybe someday, and in the case of we fans who’ve been consciously watching – and waiting – for seventy years, amend that wishfulness to “maybe someday soon,” we will finally receive a visit from the soaring bird of winning’s beautiful winged destiny – and stop the steady flow of low level fights into Houston on all these bad end-of-season’s nights by losing’s ugly bird of fate. It’s probably perched on the head of General Sam Houston out at Hermann Park, even as these digital words hit the page.

And thanks to DavesDailyDose.com for providing the courtesy photo here that describes the redundancy of this downer emotional experience better than anything anyone could possibly write. Although, I have to admit, I only personally feel this bad when it’s an Astros close-call season-ending loss – or a big UH game defeat – or another coaching loss by all the Professor Harold Hill types who come in to successfully guide my Houston Cougars for a couple of years on their stepping-stone ways to more “prestigious” bigger paying territories in the jungle of college football.

Just remember, Houstonians, if you are among one of the Texan fans who are taking the team’s disappointing loss tonight pretty hard, the same old immortal truth remains: The sun will come up again tomorrow.

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eagle-0range
 Bill McCurdy

Publisher, Editor, Writer

The Pecan Park Eagle

He’s BAGWELL the Baseball Man!

January 14, 2017
Jeff Bagwell, 1B Houston Astrps 1992-2005

Jeff Bagwell, 1B
Houston Astros
1992-2005

He’s BAGWELL the Baseball Man!

By Bill McCurdy

 

He’s BAGWELL the Baseball Man!

He’s Bagwell the BASEBALL Man!

He fights to the finich – ‘Cause he eats his spinach,

He’s BAGWELL the BASEBALL MAN!

 

He hits every PITCH he can!

The pitchers all cry for a BAN!

But NOT for wrongdoing – their records he’s screwing,

He’s BAGWELL the BASEBALL MAN!

 

It’s HIGH TIME to open the GATE!

With the HALL OF FAME – he has a DATE!

They can’t leave him out there – All he did was clout balls fair,

HE’S BAGWELL THE BASEBALL – MAN!

popeyebaseball-1

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Notes

Jeff Bagwell, 1st Base, Houston Astros (1991-2005)

Career: BA .297; 449 HR; 1,529 RBI

Imminent Hall of Fame Induction Approval Pending Announcement

On January 18, 2017

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eagle-0range
 Bill McCurdy

Publisher, Editor, Writer

The Pecan Park Eagle