Bill Gilbert’s HOF Vote Report

Bill Gilbert’s Back With a DL-Delayed, But Still Timely Report on the Hall of Fame Vote. Welcome Back, William! And Keep on – Keepin’ On, Please! We all both enjoy and treasure all you do in the name of good baseball history and analysis.

Analyzing the 2018 Hall of Fame Vote

By Bill Gilbert

Normally, I write an analysis of the Hall of Fame election within a couple of days of the announcement but a 19 day hospital stay has put me way behind schedule. The Baseball Writers Association of America elected 4 players to the Hall of Fame this year, Chipper Jones (97.2%), Vladimir Guerrero (92.9%), Jim Thome (89.8%) and Trevor Hoffman (79.9.%). They will join Alan Trammell and Jack Morris, previously elected by the Modern Era Veterans Committee, for induction in July. Jones and Thome were elected in their first year on the ballot, Guerrero in his second year and Hoffman in his third. Edgar Martinez received 70.4% of the vote and appears to be in good position for election in 2019, his 9th year on the ballot.

Roger Clemens and Barry Bonds continue to gain a few votes but the gains were small this year. They now have 57.3% and 56.4% of the votes respectively. They have four more years on the ballot to reach the necessary 75%.

Following is a list of candidates that received votes in the election this year. A total of 422 votes were cast. For the holdovers, vote totals for last year are also shown. Newcomers on the 2018 ballot are shown in bold:

2018 Baseball Hall of Fame Ballot Results

Player Years 2018 V 2018 % 2017 V 2017 % V Diff %
Chipper Jones 1 410 97.2
Vlad Guerrero 2 392 92.9 317 71.7 75 21.2
Jim Thome 1 379 89.8
Trevor Hoffman 3 337 79.9 327 74.0 10 5.9
Edgar Martinez 9 297 70.4 259 58.6 38 11.8
Mike Mussina 5 268 63.5 229 51.8 39 11.7
Roger Clemens 6 242 57.3 239 54.1 3 3.2
Barry Bonds 6 238 56.4 238 53.8 0 2.6
Curt Schilling 6 216 51.2 199 45.0 17 6.2
Omar Vizquel 1 156 37.0
Larry Walker 8 144 34.1 97 21.9 47 12.2
Fred McGriff 9 98 23.2 96 21.7 2 1.5
Manny Rameriz 2 93 22.0 105 23.8 (-12) (-1.8)
Jeff Kent 5 61 14.5 74 16.7 (-13) (-2.2)
Gary Sheffield 4 47 11.1 59 13.3 (-12) (-2.2)
Billy Wagner 3 47 11.1 45 10.2 2 0.9
Scott Rolen 1 43 10.2
Sammy Sosa 6 33 7.8 38 8.6 (-5) (-0.8)
Andruw Jones 1 31 7.3
Jamie Moyer 1 10 2.4
Johann Santana 1 10 2.4
Johnny Damon 1 8 1.9
Hideki Matsui 1 4 0.9
Chris Carpenter 1 2 0.5
Kerry Wood 1 2 0.5
Livan Hernandez 1 1 0.2
Carlos Lee 1 1 0.2

Three newcomers received enough votes (5%) to remain on the ballot, Otto Vizquel (37.0%), Scott Rolen (10.2%) and Andruw Jones (7.3%). Vizquel’s strong showing on his first appearance on the ballot suggests that he will get future consideration. In something of a surprise, two-time Cy Young Award Winner, Johann Santana, received only 2.4% of the vote and will be removed from future ballots.

Eleven of the fifteen holdover candidates received a greater percentage of the votes in 2018 than in 2017. The four that didn’t were Manny Ramirez, Gary Sheffield, Sammy Sosa and Jeff Kent. The first three have been tainted by the PED issue but it’s not clear why Kent, the leading all-time home run hitter among second baseman has failed to gain support.

The following six players were on the ballot but did not receive any votes: Orlando Hudson, Aubrey Huff, Jason Isringhausen, Brad Lidge, Kevin Millwood and Carlos Zambrano.

For the fifth straight year, the writers averaged over eight votes on their ballots (8.4) versus the historical average of 6-7. If this continues, the problem of an overcrowded ballot should gradually be relieved. The change that reduced a player’s time on the ballot from 15 to 10 years will also help. The 2019 class of ballot newcomers will be another strong one including Mariano Rivera, Roy Halladay, Andy Pettitte and Lance Berkman.

Bill Gilbert

2/18/2018

 

********************

Bill McCurdy

Principal Writer, Editor, Publisher

The Pecan Park Eagle

Tags:

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

w

Connecting to %s


%d bloggers like this: