Posts Tagged ‘Strange Probabilities and Top 10 Hitters’

Strange Probabilities and Top 10 Hitters

July 20, 2017

July 17, 1914:
“EXTRA! EXTRA! READ ALL ABOUT IT! ….
LAST PLACE BRAVES FALL 11.5 GAMES OUT OF FIRST AND ARE RUNNING SHORT ON HOPE!”

For further information on the longer list and other stats, check out the ESPN link for yourselves. It’s usually up-to-date by the mornings following each date of games played:

http://www.espn.com/mlb/stats/batting/_/sort/avg/league/al/year/2017/seasontype/2

 

TOP 10 AL HITTERS FOR AVERAGE

Through Games of Wednesday, July 19, 2017:

# PLAYER TEAM AB H 2B 3B HR AVE.
1 Jose Altuve HOU 360 127 27 2 14 .353
2 Jean Segura SEA 280 97 18 0 6 .346
3 Jose Rameriz CLE 352 114 29 5 17 .324
4 Carlos Correa HOU 325 104 18 1 20 .320
5 Ben Gamel SEA 279 89 16 2 5 .319
6 Avisail Garcia CWS 319 100 17 3 13 .313
7 Aaron Judge NYY 327 102 13 3 30 .312
8 Eric Hosmer KC 356 111 20 1 13 .312
9 Starlin Castro NYY 308 96 14 1 12 .312
10 Dustin Pedroia BOS 306 95 16 0 5 .310

 

HYPOTHETICAL IMPROBABILITIES: Changes or other rare and unusual facets in the rules of baseball over time have produced some almost non-existent probabilities that still remain with us, nevertheless, as possibilities.

Example # 1: It already happened in an All Star Game back in the 1940s, I think, but I do not recall the exact instance at print time here. – A pitcher was called into a game with men on base in a tie game with two outs. Before he threw a single pitch to his first batter, he picked the runner off first base to retire the side. His club then scored a run for a lead they would never surrender and he was replaced the very next inning on the mound. He wound up getting the win credit, however,  as the pitcher of record when the lead run scored, even though he never threw a single pitch in the game. – If you can cite the instance in which this rarity occurred, or if you know of any other times it actually has happened, please share that knowledge with the rest of us in the comment section that follows this column. Thanks.

Example # 2: Because of the DH, it is now possible for a really good hitter to earn his way into the Hall of Fame over a career in which he never plays a single defensive pitch in the field. As more of these types now emerge as possibilities over time, the more the probabilities ascend that some of us will live to see this one happen in our lifetimes.

Example # 3: This last one’s hope of ever happening only lives on as a technical possibility. With the recent change that allows a batter to take first base by a wave of the umpire’s hand, it is possible that some new player may come along at any time and have one of those “Eddie Gaedel Single Time At Bat Careers” in which he reaches base on an intentional walk, thus becoming the first player in history to be recorded as a legitimate former major leaguer, but one who never saw a pitched ball on offense or defense.

Ouch! That’s enough for one day!

____________________

Bill McCurdy

Principal Writer, Editor, Publisher

The Pecan Park Eagle