MLB Playoff Predictions

Fearless Forecasts Flow Fast From a 1932 Houston Buffs Jersey.

I meant to get to this business of forecasting the 2011 MLB Playoff Outcomes through the World Series yesterday, but found myself too distracted by other things to get around to it, so, I will get it done now – without changing my original picks as a result of yesterday’s one blow-out win over one of my first round short series picks.

The Playoffs have always been one of my favorite times of the baseball season, even when our home club Astros had no chance of getting there. – Oh wait! I almost forgot! Those times are back! Now we can look forward in Houston to the day when our new homegrown youth crop grows up and puts us back into this same wonderful post-season contention.

These playoffs shape up as another triumph of pitching over slugging, as I see it. Even the powerful blowout of the Rays over the Rangers Friday night was such a statement. In spite of the 9-0 power surge by Tampa Bay on the road, it was the 7-inning 2-hit start by young Matt Moore that striped the Rangers down to Josh Hamilton and nobody else.

In disregard of that blast upon my before-the-fact opinion, I’m going to stick with my pre-Friday private picks in all series, even if it costs me on the accuracy side in this first round best three of five games situation.

Here goes:

Round One / Wild Card Round (Best 3 of 5 Games):

American League: Rangers over Rays; Tigers over Yankees.

National League: Phillies over Cardinals; Brewers over Diamondbacks.

Round Two / League Championship Series (Best 4 of 7 Games):

American League: Tigers over Rangers.

National League: Phillies over Brewers.

World Series (Best 4 of 7 Games):

Detroit Tigers over Philadelphia Phillies.

That’s right. In the end, I expect the Tigers with Justin Verlander and that imported company of pitching Tigers from Detroit, to get the best of Roy Halladay and the arguably best team in baseball, the Philadelphia Phillies, in a series that will likely run to six or seven games. Now let’s play the hands we’ve been dealt and find out how right or wrong we all can be.

Please post your own picks today as comments on this column. If you are among the big crowd who thinks that the Phillies own the best starting four pitchers in the big leagues, you may spiritedly disagree with my selections. If you’re from St. Louis, you may even be one of those fans who see the Cardinals rolling into Philadelphia today with enough momentum going for them to even knock the Phils out of the NLCS.

Just let us know here today what you think – before we get too far into some important early games.

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8 Responses to “MLB Playoff Predictions”

  1. David Munger's avatar David Munger Says:

    Yankees-Rays…..Yankees
    Phillies-Brewers….Brewers

    Yankees…#28…….GEAUX TIGERS…LSU not Detroit.

  2. John Watkins's avatar John Watkins Says:

    Bill: Though I got out of the predicting business long ago, I must say that is a great photo.

  3. Bob Hulsey's avatar Bob Hulsey Says:

    If Detroit wins, that means most likely Jose Valverde will be closing out the World Series in his own unique style. That alone might make it worth watching.

  4. Joe Thompson's avatar Joe Thompson Says:

    NLDS-
    Brewers over Dbacks
    Phillies over Cards

    ALDS
    Tigers over Yanks
    Rangers over Rays

    NLCS
    Brewers over Phils

    ALCS
    Rangers over Tigers

    World Series
    Rangers over Brewers

  5. Bill Borst's avatar bbprof Says:

    I guess it is too late to say that I am hoping for a Mets WS victory. I thought that the Tigers could surprise a few people last week when everyone was thinking Yankees. I don’t know if Texas will be Tampa. I think that’s just a parochial prejudice. Look for Tampa to end it in St. Pete’s. The Brew crew might just blow the Phils’ horn before they get to Detroit. Then it could go either way. Bb

  6. Bill Gilbert's avatar Bill Gilbert Says:

    Bill-

    Great minds must think alike. My entry in our local SABR Chapter contest was identical to yours.

    Bill Gilbert

    • Bill McCurdy's avatar Bill McCurdy Says:

      Bill –

      Wow! That’s really something! Now, if only our “great minds” picks turn out to be right on the outcomes. 🙂 So far, we haven’t really seen anything that says they won’t be. The Brewers held home service. Sure, the Phillies and Rangers got split at home, but the Tigers took one in New York.

      Take care.

      Bill McCurdy

  7. Kevin's avatar Kevin Says:

    3/4 on the ds games. Still love the fact that everyone said cardinals wouldn’t go anywhere, and yet still won the WS… #11 for 11.

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